Getting Tough on Crime: Questions and Answers
Friday, November 23rd, 2007Ryan Bergen from Montreal Canada writes: I understand that violent crime has tapered off in absolute terms and this has been credited to changing demographics i.e. there just aren’t as many young people around to commit crimes as there once were relative to the population as a whole. Is this accurate? So then what about the number of crimes committed in relation to the size of the smaller cohort. There may be less violence in Canada than in the past, but are Canadians in fact less violent? Thanks.
Demographic shifts do explain a good deal of the variation in homicide rates, and the rates of other kinds of serious violent crime. In the mid 1970s young men (those between the ages of 18 and 29) represented 10 per cent of the Canadian population; today they represent about 5 per cent of our population. This demographic category is responsible for close to 70 per cent of all violent crime, and so it follows that when their numbers shrink, the crime rate drops. Canadians are no more or less violent today than they were 30 years ago, but the character of the violence has probably changed. We have less domestic violence, for example, but a greater number of homicides involving handguns (and fewer involving rifles or shotguns).